Hamburger SV vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
43.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1996 |
ROS
2 - 0
HSV
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1996 |
KAI
1 - 2
HSV
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1996 |
HSV
0 - 0
SCF
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
MUN
5 - 0
HSV
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1996 |
HSV
0 - 0
KFC
66%
21%
12%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
LEV
0 - 0
F95
69%
19%
12%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1996 |
S04
1 - 1
LEV
34%
26%
40%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
LEV
1 - 2
KOL
64%
21%
15%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1996 |
STP
2 - 1
LEV
25%
25%
50%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1996 |
BRE
2 - 1
LEV
44%
25%
31%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | -1 |