Halcones vs Marquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Halcones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
RET
2 - 1
HAL
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
HAL
1 - 0
CHI
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
MUN
1 - 0
HAL
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
HAL
2 - 0
XIN
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
HER
3 - 1
HAL
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
TOR
2 - 1
LEO
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
LEO
1 - 0
RET
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 2
LEO
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
LEO
1 - 1
MUN
49%
26%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
XIN
0 - 2
LEO
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |