UCL Qualifying First round Final
Global 3-2
FC Haka vs Pyunik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Haka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2005 |
HAK
8 - 0
ALL
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2005 |
KUO
0 - 0
HAK
22%
26%
52%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2005 |
KOO
3 - 3
HAK
24%
27%
49%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
HAK
2 - 0
TP4
76%
17%
8%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2005 |
HJK
1 - 0
HAK
47%
27%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pyunik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2005 |
PYU
5 - 0
ARA
78%
15%
8%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2005 |
MIK
0 - 0
PYU
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2005 |
PYU
0 - 0
BAN
55%
22%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2005 |
PYU
1 - 0
KIL
68%
18%
14%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2005 |
SHI
0 - 0
PYU
31%
24%
45%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |