Q. Europa League Play-offs. Final
Global 0-2
HNK Hajduk Split vs Slovan Liberec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
HKS
3 - 0
OSI
76%
16%
8%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
SLI
1 - 0
HKS
43%
25%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
RIJ
0 - 0
HKS
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2015 |
LOK
1 - 2
HKS
30%
25%
46%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2015 |
STR
0 - 2
HKS
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Slovan Liberec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
SLI
2 - 0
TEP
51%
25%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
SLI
1 - 0
HKS
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
JAB
1 - 1
SLI
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2015 |
SLI
1 - 1
DUK
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2015 |
IKS
0 - 3
SLI
35%
26%
40%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |