HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Istra 1961 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
71
1º
2º
2º
46
4º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
HKS
2 - 0
RIJ
50%
23%
27%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
HNS
1 - 1
HKS
12%
20%
68%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
HKS
5 - 1
SLA
72%
18%
9%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
OSI
2 - 1
HKS
31%
26%
43%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
HKS
0 - 2
VIL
22%
24%
55%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
NK Istra 1961
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SLA
0 - 3
IST
49%
26%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
IST
1 - 2
LOK
25%
26%
50%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
HNG
0 - 2
IST
67%
20%
12%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
IST
1 - 1
RIJ
14%
21%
65%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
HNS
0 - 0
IST
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |