HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Istra 1961 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
14.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
SLA
3 - 0
HKS
26%
25%
49%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
HKS
2 - 2
LOK
58%
24%
19%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
HDR
4 - 1
HKS
14%
23%
63%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
HKS
1 - 0
SPL
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
RIJ
4 - 1
HKS
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
NK Istra 1961
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
IST
0 - 0
OSI
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
IST
3 - 3
SLA
49%
27%
25%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
LOK
3 - 2
IST
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
IST
1 - 2
HDR
61%
24%
16%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
SPL
2 - 0
IST
59%
24%
18%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |