Haiti vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
66.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
15.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2004 |
JAM
3 - 0
HTI
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
HTI
1 - 1
JAM
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
SLV
3 - 3
HTI
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2004 |
GTM
1 - 0
HTI
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
USA
1 - 1
HTI
73%
18%
9%
|
75 | 92 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2004 |
ARG
2 - 2
BRA
34%
24%
42%
|
99 | 98 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2004 |
BRA
1 - 1
URY
87%
9%
4%
|
99 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2004 |
MEX
0 - 4
BRA
11%
17%
72%
|
99 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2004 |
BRA
1 - 2
PRY
89%
8%
3%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2004 |
BRA
4 - 1
CRI
93%
6%
2%
|
99 | 87 | 12 | 0 |