HFC Haarlem vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
48.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2008 |
HFC
0 - 4
VVV
20%
24%
56%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2008 |
BVO
3 - 2
HFC
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2008 |
APE
2 - 0
HFC
52%
23%
25%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2008 |
BOS
2 - 1
HFC
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2008 |
HFC
1 - 4
BOS
25%
26%
49%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2008 |
EXC
2 - 1
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2008 |
EXC
2 - 1
BOS
42%
25%
33%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
VVV
3 - 1
EXC
58%
23%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
DEB
0 - 1
EXC
19%
22%
59%
|
64 | 35 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2008 |
EIN
1 - 0
EXC
27%
25%
48%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | -1 |