HFC Haarlem vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
48.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2005 |
HFC
0 - 4
EIN
38%
25%
37%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2005 |
BVV
1 - 3
HFC
53%
23%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2005 |
HFC
2 - 3
FCD
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2005 |
VOL
5 - 0
HFC
64%
21%
16%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2005 |
HFC
3 - 0
GRA
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
EXC
2 - 1
ZWO
51%
23%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2005 |
FCO
0 - 1
EXC
32%
24%
45%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2005 |
EXC
2 - 1
77%
15%
8%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2005 |
HEL
3 - 3
EXC
52%
23%
25%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2005 |
EXC
3 - 0
FCE
62%
20%
18%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |