HFC Haarlem vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
52.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1976 |
HFC
4 - 0
SPA
39%
29%
32%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1976 |
ADO
2 - 1
HFC
73%
18%
9%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
NAC
3 - 1
HFC
64%
22%
15%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
HFC
1 - 0
EXC
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1975 |
SPA
0 - 0
HFC
76%
16%
8%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1976 |
AZA
0 - 3
AJA
27%
26%
47%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1976 |
AJA
1 - 0
GRA
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1976 |
TEL
1 - 1
AJA
26%
26%
48%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
AJA
5 - 3
TWE
65%
20%
15%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
EIN
2 - 3
AJA
16%
21%
63%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |