Gwangju FC vs Incheon United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
36.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
3º
9º
3º
48
6º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gwangju FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
JEO
2 - 0
GWA
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
GWA
0 - 2
FCS
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SUW
0 - 1
GWA
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
KOR
0 - 0
GWA
13%
22%
65%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
GWA
4 - 0
GYE
65%
22%
14%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Incheon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
INC
1 - 0
JEJ
36%
28%
37%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
INC
3 - 3
DCI
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
FCS
2 - 1
INC
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
JEO
2 - 1
INC
42%
27%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
INC
1 - 1
POH
36%
28%
37%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |