Derde Divisie Zondag round 16

GVV Unitas vs Baronie analysis

GVV Unitas Baronie
41 ELO 40
-8.3% Tilt -1.6%
6502º General ELO ranking 9921º
132º Country ELO ranking 185º
ELO win probability
47%
GVV Unitas
24.8%
Draw
28.1%
Baronie

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
GVV Unitas
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
28.1%
Win probability
Baronie
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
GVV Unitas
+20%
-21%
Baronie

Points and table prediction

GVV Unitas
Their league position
Baronie
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
12º
12º
28
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
ADO 20
84
84
100%
VVSB
71
71
100%
USV Hercules
63
63
100%
Blauw Geel '38
55
55
100%
OJC Rosmalen
54
54
100%
HSC 21
51
51
100%
TOGB
49
49
100%
UNA
49
49
0%
HV & CV Quick
49
49
0%
RKVV DEM
10º
48
48
10º
100%
Gemert
11º
47
47
11º
100%
GVV Unitas
12º
45
45
12º
100%
Groene Ster
13º
43
43
13º
100%
OSS '20
14º
36
36
14º
100%
JOS Watergraafsmeer
15º
32
32
15º
100%
Baronie
16º
28
28
16º
100%
Dongen
17º
25
25
17º
100%
UDI '19
18º
17
17
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
GVV Unitas
Baronie
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

GVV Unitas
Baronie
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

GVV Unitas
GVV Unitas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Nov. 2022
GEM
Gemert
2 - 3
GVV Unitas
GVV
51%
23%
26%
41 39 2 0
12 Nov. 2022
GVV
GVV Unitas
1 - 3
Blauw Geel '38
BLA
23%
23%
54%
42 48 6 -1
05 Nov. 2022
VVS
VVSB
3 - 2
GVV Unitas
GVV
69%
18%
13%
42 48 6 0
29 Oct. 2022
GVV
GVV Unitas
2 - 1
TOGB
TOG
44%
25%
32%
41 41 0 +1
15 Oct. 2022
OJC
OJC Rosmalen
1 - 3
GVV Unitas
GVV
64%
20%
16%
40 45 5 +1

Matches

Baronie
Baronie
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Nov. 2022
BAR
Baronie
1 - 1
Dongen
DON
58%
22%
20%
40 34 6 0
13 Nov. 2022
BAR
Baronie
3 - 0
Gemert
GEM
33%
24%
43%
38 42 4 +2
06 Nov. 2022
BLA
Blauw Geel '38
2 - 1
Baronie
BAR
71%
18%
12%
38 48 10 0
29 Oct. 2022
BAR
Baronie
1 - 3
VVSB
VVS
25%
23%
52%
39 47 8 -1
16 Oct. 2022
TOG
TOGB
4 - 1
Baronie
BAR
45%
24%
30%
42 42 0 -3