Gute vs Värmdö analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
10.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
GUT
3 - 1
IFS
30%
25%
45%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
GAM
0 - 1
GUT
27%
22%
51%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
GUT
4 - 0
BGF
85%
10%
5%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
LID
0 - 1
GUT
45%
21%
34%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
GUT
1 - 0
NOR
78%
14%
9%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Värmdö
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2018 |
NFC
4 - 1
VAR
78%
14%
9%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
VAR
1 - 3
SOD
55%
22%
23%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
SYL
2 - 0
VAR
81%
12%
7%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
VAR
0 - 3
MOT
25%
22%
54%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -2 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
VAR
1 - 2
ASP
45%
23%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -2 |