Gute vs Skiljebo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
30.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
4º
12º
11º
25
2º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 58 |
1º
|
47% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 56 |
2º
|
39% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 49 |
3º
|
38.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 46 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 45 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 39 |
6º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 36 |
7º
|
26.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 34 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 31 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 31 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 27 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 26 |
12º
|
36.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 16 |
13º
|
43% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 15 |
14º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
66.5% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
27% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
6.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
GUT
3 - 2
FRA
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
OST
2 - 1
GUT
19%
20%
61%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -2 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
GUT
1 - 1
IFF
77%
13%
10%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
YIK
2 - 0
GUT
17%
18%
65%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -2 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
VIK
3 - 2
GUT
52%
22%
26%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Skiljebo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
SKI
0 - 3
FCJ
29%
25%
46%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2025 |
FRA
1 - 0
SKI
32%
22%
46%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
SKI
2 - 2
OST
83%
11%
6%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
KUN
5 - 0
SKI
36%
23%
42%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
SKI
5 - 3
FRA
60%
19%
22%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |