Gungahlin vs Belconnen United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7.7%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
73.3%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gungahlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
GUN
2 - 0
MON
68%
18%
15%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
CUA
3 - 0
GUN
12%
17%
71%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | -2 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
GUN
1 - 0
COE
41%
23%
37%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
COO
1 - 1
GUN
87%
9%
4%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
GUN
0 - 2
CAN
19%
20%
61%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Belconnen United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
TUG
0 - 1
BEL
6%
12%
82%
|
38 | 13 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
BEL
0 - 2
CAN
52%
23%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
CAN
0 - 2
BEL
59%
20%
21%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
BEL
4 - 0
MON
87%
9%
4%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 4
CAN
44%
23%
32%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -2 |