Guiseley vs Whitby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
10.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
GUI
2 - 2
BAR
68%
19%
14%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
ALT
1 - 3
GUI
30%
24%
46%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
GUI
2 - 1
VAU
70%
19%
12%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
SOL
2 - 0
GUI
17%
22%
61%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
GUI
1 - 0
STA
61%
21%
18%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Whitby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
WHI
0 - 2
HED
34%
25%
42%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
KEN
2 - 4
WHI
41%
23%
36%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
WHI
4 - 2
ILK
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
WHI
3 - 2
STO
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
WIT
4 - 2
WHI
70%
18%
12%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |