National League Round 5

Guiseley vs Torquay United analysis

Guiseley Torquay United
45 ELO 43
9% Tilt -7.3%
5316º General ELO ranking 4325º
164º Country ELO ranking 124º
ELO win probability
52%
Guiseley
23.4%
Draw
24.6%
Torquay United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
Guiseley
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.6%
Win probability
Torquay United
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Guiseley
-28%
+8%
Torquay United

ELO progression

Guiseley
Torquay United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guiseley
Guiseley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Aug. 2017
GUI
Guiseley
0 - 0
Tranmere Rovers
TRA
27%
27%
46%
44 57 13 0
12 Aug. 2017
ALD
Aldershot Town
6 - 0
Guiseley
GUI
66%
21%
13%
45 55 10 -1
08 Aug. 2017
GAT
Gateshead
1 - 0
Guiseley
GUI
59%
22%
19%
46 49 3 -1
05 Aug. 2017
GUI
Guiseley
2 - 2
Ebbsfleet United
EBB
25%
27%
48%
45 59 14 +1
18 Jul. 2017
GUI
Guiseley
1 - 2
Bradford City
BRA
16%
22%
62%
46 66 20 -1

Matches

Torquay United
Torquay United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Aug. 2017
GUL
Torquay United
2 - 4
Boreham Wood
BOR
42%
26%
32%
45 47 2 0
12 Aug. 2017
GAT
Gateshead
3 - 0
Torquay United
GUL
57%
22%
20%
46 49 3 -1
08 Aug. 2017
ALD
Aldershot Town
3 - 2
Torquay United
GUL
61%
23%
16%
47 55 8 -1
05 Aug. 2017
GUL
Torquay United
0 - 0
Tranmere Rovers
TRA
26%
27%
47%
47 57 10 0
28 Jul. 2017
GUL
Torquay United
6 - 0
Truro City
WHI
63%
21%
16%
47 34 13 0