Guiseley vs Kidderminster Harriers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
GAT
1 - 0
GUI
51%
25%
24%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2021 |
CHE
1 - 0
GUI
60%
21%
18%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
YOR
1 - 0
GUI
51%
25%
24%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
GUI
2 - 2
FAR
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
STO
3 - 1
GUI
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
GLO
3 - 2
KID
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2021 |
KID
2 - 2
YOR
30%
25%
46%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
KID
1 - 1
HER
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
HER
3 - 1
KID
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
STA
1 - 0
KID
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |