Guiseley vs Bradford Park Avenue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
BOS
3 - 0
GUI
29%
24%
47%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
GUI
0 - 2
BRA
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
GLO
1 - 1
GUI
17%
22%
61%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
GUI
1 - 0
WOR
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
COL
2 - 2
GUI
21%
23%
57%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Bradford Park Avenue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
BRA
3 - 1
AFC
58%
22%
19%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
WOR
1 - 2
BRA
30%
24%
46%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
BRA
3 - 3
OXF
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
STA
2 - 2
BRA
52%
22%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
BRA
2 - 2
BAR
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |