Guiseley vs Brackley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
54.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
GUI
2 - 1
CLE
57%
20%
24%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
CLE
2 - 2
GUI
37%
22%
42%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
YOR
4 - 2
GUI
62%
21%
17%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
STA
0 - 4
GUI
14%
17%
68%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
GUI
3 - 0
UNM
49%
22%
29%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Brackley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
BRA
2 - 3
MAR
64%
22%
14%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
BRA
2 - 0
SOU
68%
20%
12%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
BRA
2 - 0
NUN
63%
22%
16%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
NUN
1 - 1
BRA
21%
24%
55%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CUR
1 - 1
BRA
20%
24%
56%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |