Intertoto Cup Round 5

Guingamp vs Zemun analysis

Guingamp Zemun
81 ELO 67
-22% Tilt -9.9%
450º General ELO ranking 2264º
23º Country ELO ranking 27º
ELO win probability
71.7%
Guingamp
17.6%
Draw
10.8%
Zemun

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
Guingamp
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.8%
Win probability
Zemun
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Guingamp
-6%
+11%
Zemun

ELO progression

Guingamp
Zemun
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guingamp
Guingamp
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jul. 1996
KOL
Kolkheti Poti
1 - 3
Guingamp
GUI
58%
21%
21%
80 77 3 0
07 Jul. 1996
GUI
Guingamp
2 - 1
Dinamo Bucureşti
DBU
61%
22%
17%
80 75 5 0
22 Jun. 1996
FFJ
FF Jaro
0 - 0
Guingamp
GUI
43%
24%
34%
80 71 9 0
18 May. 1996
FCM
FC Martigues
2 - 1
Guingamp
GUI
40%
28%
33%
80 73 7 0
11 May. 1996
GUI
Guingamp
1 - 1
Auxerre
AUX
22%
25%
53%
80 89 9 0

Matches

Zemun
Zemun
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jul. 1996
ZEM
Zemun
3 - 2
FF Jaro
FFJ
41%
26%
32%
67 74 7 0
29 Jun. 1996
KOL
Kolkheti Poti
2 - 3
Zemun
ZEM
80%
13%
7%
66 78 12 +1
23 Jun. 1996
ZEM
Zemun
2 - 1
Dinamo Bucureşti
DBU
33%
27%
40%
65 76 11 +1