Guingamp vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
GUI
2 - 0
VAN
64%
20%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
CLE
0 - 1
GUI
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2011 |
GUI
1 - 1
CHA
69%
19%
13%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2011 |
GUI
2 - 0
STL
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
FCR
1 - 3
GUI
25%
29%
46%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2011 |
MET
0 - 0
ARL
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2011 |
TOU
1 - 0
MET
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2011 |
LHA
5 - 4
MET
45%
25%
31%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
ETG
4 - 3
MET
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
MET
3 - 0
NÎM
59%
26%
16%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |