Guingamp vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
31%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
GUI
65%
21%
15%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 4
GUI
5%
13%
81%
|
77 | 27 | 50 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
GUI
0 - 2
REN
41%
27%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
GUI
2 - 2
NIC
34%
26%
40%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
MPL
2 - 1
GUI
55%
25%
20%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
LIL
1 - 1
NIC
38%
27%
35%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
AAC
0 - 1
LIL
9%
20%
72%
|
82 | 45 | 37 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
TFC
1 - 1
LIL
40%
27%
33%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
LIL
1 - 0
STL
66%
23%
12%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
LIL
3 - 0
LOR
41%
27%
32%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |