Ligue 2 Round 38

Guingamp vs Lille analysis

Guingamp Lille
76 ELO 73
-25% Tilt -16.3%
450º General ELO ranking 21º
23º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
52.1%
Guingamp
27.6%
Draw
20.3%
Lille

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
Guingamp
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
20.3%
Win probability
Lille
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Guingamp
+1%
-5%
Lille

ELO progression

Guingamp
Lille
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guingamp
Guingamp
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 May. 1999
FCG
FC Gueugnon
0 - 0
Guingamp
GUI
41%
28%
31%
76 71 5 0
07 May. 1999
GUI
Guingamp
2 - 1
Red Star
RED
60%
24%
16%
76 63 13 0
01 May. 1999
NÎM
Nîmes
0 - 0
Guingamp
GUI
37%
28%
34%
76 68 8 0
23 Apr. 1999
GUI
Guingamp
2 - 0
Troyes
TRO
45%
29%
26%
76 74 2 0
14 Apr. 1999
CAN
Cannes
0 - 1
Guingamp
GUI
37%
30%
33%
75 70 5 +1

Matches

Lille
Lille
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 May. 1999
LIL
Lille
1 - 0
CS Sedan
SED
42%
27%
31%
72 77 5 0
07 May. 1999
CHA
Chateauroux
0 - 1
Lille
LIL
50%
27%
23%
71 71 0 +1
01 May. 1999
LIL
Lille
0 - 1
Amiens SC
AMI
67%
20%
12%
72 65 7 -1
24 Apr. 1999
AJA
Ajaccio
0 - 2
Lille
LIL
58%
23%
18%
71 71 0 +1
14 Apr. 1999
LIL
Lille
2 - 1
Valence
VAL
63%
22%
15%
71 66 5 0