Guingamp II vs Voltigeurs Châteaubriant analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
36.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
3º
12º
12º
48
4º
15º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
95% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
95% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 46 |
5º
|
65.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
73.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
11º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 28 |
13º
|
59.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
59.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
52.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
47.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
STP
2 - 0
GUI
57%
23%
19%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
GUI
2 - 2
CAE
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
GUI
0 - 1
GRA
33%
26%
42%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
GUI
1 - 2
FCR
25%
26%
49%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SAI
2 - 1
GUI
47%
25%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Voltigeurs Châteaubriant
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
VOL
1 - 1
SAI
39%
27%
34%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
VOL
1 - 0
STA
60%
23%
17%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FCR
1 - 1
VOL
65%
22%
13%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
VOL
2 - 1
POI
36%
27%
37%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
VOL
1 - 1
LAN
72%
19%
10%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |