Equatorial Guinea vs Cameroon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
72.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
17.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
16.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
22.7%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
LBR
0 - 0
EQG
32%
24%
44%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
RWA
2 - 0
EQG
43%
24%
33%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
EQG
3 - 1
RWA
41%
25%
35%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2007 |
EQG
1 - 1
GAB
32%
24%
45%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2007 |
CGO
2 - 1
EQG
49%
24%
27%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cameroon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
JPN
2 - 0
CMR
55%
25%
20%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
CMR
2 - 1
RWA
88%
9%
3%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
LBR
1 - 2
CMR
5%
17%
78%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
CMR
3 - 1
LBR
90%
8%
2%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
TOG
2 - 2
CMR
20%
27%
53%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |