Guillermo Brown vs Quilmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
BUC
2 - 0
GBR
26%
28%
45%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
GBR
1 - 3
RAF
41%
27%
31%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 0
GBR
31%
29%
40%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
GBR
3 - 1
MIT
71%
19%
10%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
ALB
2 - 0
GBR
32%
29%
39%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
QUI
0 - 2
FLA
58%
25%
17%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
AGR
1 - 1
QUI
28%
28%
44%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
QUI
0 - 0
JUV
45%
27%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
INS
1 - 0
QUI
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
QUI
0 - 2
ALM
56%
26%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |