Guillermo Brown vs Chaco For Ever analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
31.1%
Draw
0-0
14.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.1%
38.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SMA
4 - 1
GBR
59%
24%
18%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
GBR
1 - 0
ATL
35%
29%
36%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
EST
3 - 2
GBR
53%
26%
21%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
GBR
1 - 0
RSA
49%
27%
24%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
RAF
4 - 1
GBR
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Chaco For Ever
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
CFE
2 - 0
CHA
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
BRO
1 - 2
CFE
43%
29%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
CFE
1 - 0
DEF
41%
30%
29%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
SMA
0 - 0
CFE
62%
25%
14%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
CFE
1 - 0
SUA
51%
27%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |