Guijuelo vs Somozas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guijuelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
CDG
0 - 1
HOS
28%
27%
45%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
COM
0 - 1
CDG
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
CDG
2 - 1
TRO
60%
23%
17%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
ZAM
2 - 3
CDG
46%
26%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
ZAM
0 - 0
CDG
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Somozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
IZA
3 - 1
SOM
42%
26%
32%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
SOM
0 - 3
CUL
32%
27%
41%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
SOM
3 - 0
VAR
40%
25%
36%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
BUR
1 - 0
SOM
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SOM
1 - 0
AVI
18%
24%
58%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | +1 |