Guerreros vs Tijuana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
58.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guerreros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
IND
5 - 1
GUE
70%
21%
10%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ATL
2 - 1
GUE
68%
19%
12%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
GUE
1 - 0
CAZ
17%
26%
57%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
MER
3 - 0
GUE
71%
19%
10%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
GUE
0 - 0
ORI
29%
29%
43%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
TIJ
1 - 0
UDG
63%
23%
14%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
NEC
5 - 2
TIJ
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2010 |
TIJ
0 - 0
NEC
28%
28%
44%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
TIJ
1 - 1
UAT
55%
26%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2010 |
UAT
1 - 2
TIJ
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |