Guernsey vs VCD Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
48.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guernsey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
HYT
1 - 1
GUE
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
GUE
1 - 2
SEV
38%
22%
40%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
CRA
3 - 0
GUE
89%
8%
3%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
GUE
2 - 5
EAS
55%
20%
25%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
HAS
1 - 1
GUE
77%
14%
9%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
VCD Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
VCD
1 - 2
SIT
64%
19%
17%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
WHY
1 - 4
VCD
68%
18%
14%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
VCD
1 - 3
HOR
31%
23%
46%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
VCD
2 - 2
HYT
37%
23%
40%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2019 |
SIT
1 - 2
VCD
35%
24%
41%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |