Guernsey vs Leatherhead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
37.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guernsey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
HAS
0 - 4
GUE
41%
24%
35%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
HYT
1 - 1
GUE
35%
23%
42%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
GUE
3 - 1
BUR
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
GUE
4 - 2
TOW
75%
15%
11%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
GUE
1 - 1
SIT
59%
20%
21%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Leatherhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
LEA
2 - 1
HOR
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
LEA
1 - 0
WAL
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
LEA
3 - 1
RED
73%
16%
10%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
WHI
2 - 3
LEA
21%
23%
57%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
LEA
5 - 0
TOW
77%
16%
8%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |