Guernsey vs Haywards Heath Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
39.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guernsey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
GUE
3 - 1
SIT
53%
22%
25%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
THR
0 - 2
GUE
36%
22%
42%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
VCD
0 - 1
GUE
60%
19%
20%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
GUE
2 - 3
HER
28%
21%
52%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
GUE
1 - 2
WHI
22%
21%
58%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Haywards Heath Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
HAY
0 - 3
HYT
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2020 |
PHO
1 - 0
HAY
39%
22%
39%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
HAS
1 - 0
HAY
68%
18%
13%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
HAY
3 - 1
CRA
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
THR
1 - 3
HAY
22%
20%
59%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | +1 |