Guéret vs Chauvigny analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
68.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
2º
13º
13º
47
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
3º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
44.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guéret
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
PED
3 - 1
GUE
67%
17%
16%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
GUE
0 - 2
LEG
23%
21%
55%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FCL
5 - 0
GUE
85%
11%
5%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
GUE
1 - 2
CHA
25%
21%
54%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LES
3 - 1
GUE
78%
14%
8%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Chauvigny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 2
POI
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
GDB
5 - 1
CHA
23%
24%
53%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
FCP
2 - 2
CHA
39%
24%
37%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
4 - 0
BAY
57%
23%
20%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 2
NIO
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |