Guéret vs Chartres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.9%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
75.1%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guéret
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
VOL
4 - 2
GUE
29%
23%
48%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
BOU
2 - 2
GUE
61%
20%
19%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Chartres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 2
GUI
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
LOR
3 - 2
CHA
27%
27%
46%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CHA
3 - 1
BLO
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
STP
0 - 2
CHA
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 0
PLA
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | +1 |