Búhos ULVR vs 9 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
48%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
6º
10º
10º
44
1º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Búhos ULVR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
CUN
5 - 0
GUA
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
CHA
45%
28%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
AME
2 - 2
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
INJ
31%
28%
41%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 1
GUA
59%
24%
16%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
OCT
1 - 0
AME
58%
24%
19%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
IMB
2 - 1
OCT
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
OCT
1 - 1
MAC
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
CUN
4 - 0
OCT
31%
27%
42%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
OCT
3 - 0
CSV
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |