Gold Cup qualifying Final

Guatemala vs Guadalupe analysis

Guatemala Guadalupe
74 ELO 57
7.2% Tilt -9.4%
1309º General ELO ranking 3129º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
76.1%
Guatemala
15.5%
Draw
8.4%
Guadalupe

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.1%
Win probability
Guatemala
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.4%
Win probability
Guadalupe
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Guatemala
-3%
+29%
Guadalupe

ELO progression

Guatemala
Guadalupe
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guatemala
Guatemala
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Jul. 2021
GTM
Guatemala
4 - 0
Guyana
GUY
81%
13%
6%
74 52 22 0
27 Jun. 2021
SLV
El Salvador
0 - 0
Guatemala
GTM
43%
26%
32%
74 73 1 0
09 Jun. 2021
CUW
Curaçao
0 - 0
Guatemala
GTM
28%
25%
47%
74 64 10 0
05 Jun. 2021
GTM
Guatemala
10 - 0
St. Vicent and the Grenadines
VCT
82%
12%
5%
74 49 25 0
27 Mar. 2021
VGB
British Virgin Islands
0 - 3
Guatemala
GTM
3%
8%
89%
74 12 62 0

Matches

Guadalupe
Guadalupe
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Jul. 2021
GLP
Guadalupe
2 - 0
Bahamas
BHS
75%
16%
9%
57 40 17 0
18 Nov. 2019
GLP
Guadalupe
10 - 0
Turks and Caicos Islands
TCA
72%
17%
12%
56 30 26 +1
15 Oct. 2019
SXM
Sint Maarten
1 - 2
Guadalupe
GLP
6%
13%
81%
56 8 48 0
10 Sep. 2019
TCA
Turks and Caicos Islands
0 - 3
Guadalupe
GLP
11%
16%
73%
56 30 26 0
07 Sep. 2019
GLP
Guadalupe
5 - 1
Sint Maarten
SXM
80%
14%
7%
56 9 47 0