Gold Cup CONCACAF Grupo D. Jor. 2

Guatemala vs Canada analysis

Guatemala Canada
73 ELO 83
4.8% Tilt -12.3%
1015º General ELO ranking 245º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
24.9%
Guatemala
24.3%
Draw
50.9%
Canada

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
Guatemala
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
50.9%
Win probability
Canada
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Guatemala
-11%
-1%
Canada

ELO progression

Guatemala
Canada
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guatemala
Guatemala
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jun. 2023
GTM
Guatemala
1 - 0
Cuba
CUB
76%
15%
8%
72 56 16 0
18 Jun. 2023
VEN
Venezuela
1 - 0
Guatemala
GTM
71%
18%
11%
72 84 12 0
16 Jun. 2023
CRI
Costa Rica
0 - 1
Guatemala
GTM
64%
22%
14%
72 84 12 0
12 Jun. 2023
TTO
Trinidad and Tobago
1 - 0
Guatemala
GTM
38%
26%
36%
72 66 6 0
08 Jun. 2023
MEX
Mexico
2 - 0
Guatemala
GTM
77%
16%
7%
73 90 17 -1

Matches

Canada
Canada
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jun. 2023
CAN
Canada
2 - 2
Guadeloupe
GLP
84%
12%
4%
83 54 29 0
19 Jun. 2023
CAN
Canada
0 - 2
United States
USA
22%
24%
54%
83 90 7 0
16 Jun. 2023
PAN
Panama
0 - 2
Canada
CAN
34%
27%
39%
83 80 3 0
29 Mar. 2023
CAN
Canada
4 - 1
Honduras
HND
58%
23%
19%
82 76 6 +1
26 Mar. 2023
CUW
Curaçao
0 - 2
Canada
CAN
18%
24%
58%
82 59 23 0
X