WC Qual. CONCACAF 2da Ronda. Jor. 4

Guatemala vs Belize analysis

Guatemala Belize
76 ELO 45
-3.4% Tilt -5.6%
1018º General ELO ranking 5305º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
81.7%
Guatemala
12.7%
Draw
5.6%
Belize

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
Guatemala
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
5.6%
Win probability
Belize
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Guatemala
-4%
-3%
Belize

ELO progression

Guatemala
Belize
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guatemala
Guatemala
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Oct. 2011
VCT
S. Vicente y las Granadinas
0 - 3
Guatemala
GTM
14%
22%
63%
76 49 27 0
07 Sep. 2011
BLZ
Belize
1 - 2
Guatemala
GTM
13%
20%
67%
76 47 29 0
03 Sep. 2011
GTM
Guatemala
4 - 0
S. Vicente y las Granadinas
VCT
72%
18%
10%
76 48 28 0
19 Jun. 2011
MEX
Mexico
2 - 1
Guatemala
GTM
88%
9%
3%
76 94 18 0
14 Jun. 2011
GTM
Guatemala
4 - 0
Granada
GRD
81%
14%
6%
76 51 25 0

Matches

Belize
Belize
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Oct. 2011
BLZ
Belize
1 - 4
Granada
GRD
43%
24%
33%
47 48 1 0
07 Sep. 2011
BLZ
Belize
1 - 2
Guatemala
GTM
13%
20%
67%
47 76 29 0
02 Sep. 2011
GRD
Granada
0 - 3
Belize
BLZ
61%
20%
19%
45 50 5 +2
18 Jul. 2011
BLZ
Belize
3 - 1
Montserrat
MSR
77%
15%
9%
45 5 40 0
16 Jun. 2011
MSR
Montserrat
2 - 5
Belize
BLZ
15%
20%
65%
45 5 40 0
X