Guastatoya vs Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
33.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guastatoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
LDA
2 - 2
GUA
77%
15%
8%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 1
LDA
16%
21%
63%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
TOR
2 - 1
GUA
47%
28%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
ANT
2 - 1
GUA
57%
25%
18%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
COM
3 - 1
GUA
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
MUN
1 - 0
ACH
70%
18%
11%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MUN
2 - 1
COB
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
COM
2 - 1
MUN
51%
26%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
NUE
0 - 2
MUN
22%
27%
52%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
MUN
2 - 3
SOL
78%
15%
7%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |