Guastatoya vs Achuapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
14%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
11.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guastatoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
MUN
2 - 1
GUA
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 1
DSA
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
COB
2 - 0
GUA
39%
29%
33%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
GUA
3 - 2
TOR
55%
26%
19%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 0
IZT
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Achuapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
ACH
1 - 2
COB
24%
28%
47%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
SAC
1 - 3
ACH
36%
28%
36%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2020 |
ACH
3 - 1
SPD
40%
28%
33%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
CON
1 - 1
ACH
27%
25%
48%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ACH
1 - 0
COM
65%
21%
13%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |