Guarulhos vs Mauaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
50.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarulhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
POR
3 - 2
GUA
70%
18%
11%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 0
USA
37%
24%
40%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
TAB
0 - 1
GUA
69%
18%
13%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 0
USA
28%
24%
48%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 2
ADG
52%
23%
26%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mauaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
MAU
0 - 1
DIA
45%
24%
32%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
BER
1 - 1
MAU
61%
21%
18%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MAU
1 - 2
BAR
29%
24%
47%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
UNI
3 - 1
MAU
44%
23%
32%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 2
MAU
72%
17%
12%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +2 |