1ª Regional Extremadura Round 1

Guareña vs Gimnástico Don Benito analysis

Guareña Gimnástico Don Benito
13 ELO 16
-6.8% Tilt -2.3%
12611º General ELO ranking 15962º
1811º Country ELO ranking 4147º
ELO win probability
36.4%
Guareña
23.2%
Draw
40.3%
Gimnástico Don Benito

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
Guareña
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
40.3%
Win probability
Gimnástico Don Benito
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Guareña
+53%
-33%
Gimnástico Don Benito

ELO progression

Guareña
Gimnástico Don Benito
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guareña
Guareña
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Apr. 2022
GUA
Guareña
0 - 0
Campanario
CAM
23%
23%
54%
14 19 5 0
03 Apr. 2022
MON
CD Monterrubio
0 - 0
Guareña
GUA
21%
22%
57%
14 9 5 0
27 Mar. 2022
GUA
Guareña
3 - 2
Ilipense-Zalamea
ZAL
58%
22%
21%
14 12 2 0
13 Mar. 2022
GUA
Guareña
1 - 2
Hernán Cortés
HER
33%
25%
43%
14 18 4 0
06 Mar. 2022
CAS
Castuera
2 - 1
Guareña
GUA
37%
24%
39%
16 14 2 -2

Matches

Gimnástico Don Benito
Gimnástico Don Benito
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Sep. 2022
ADL
AD Llerenense
3 - 0
Gimnástico Don Benito
GIM
70%
19%
11%
16 26 10 0
24 Apr. 2022
UDF
UD Fuente de Cantos
4 - 0
Gimnástico Don Benito
GIM
40%
24%
36%
17 17 0 -1
17 Apr. 2022
GIM
Gimnástico Don Benito
1 - 0
UD Fuente de Cantos
UDF
42%
24%
34%
16 18 2 +1
10 Apr. 2022
HER
Hernán Cortés
2 - 3
Gimnástico Don Benito
GIM
55%
22%
24%
16 18 2 0
03 Apr. 2022
GIM
Gimnástico Don Benito
2 - 0
Castuera
CAS
45%
23%
32%
14 16 2 +2