UD La Guardia vs Recreativo Bailén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
51.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD La Guardia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
LAG
1 - 1
CDA
62%
19%
19%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CDT
3 - 2
LAG
56%
21%
24%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
LAG
2 - 1
ICF
20%
20%
60%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
LAG
0 - 7
NAV
28%
23%
49%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
BAE
2 - 1
LAG
61%
20%
20%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Recreativo Bailén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
BAI
1 - 0
ACF
32%
26%
43%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
UBE
1 - 1
BAI
35%
24%
42%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
BAI
0 - 0
ADM
29%
25%
46%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
URG
0 - 3
BAI
35%
23%
42%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
BAI
2 - 0
CDA
55%
23%
22%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | +1 |