Guaratinguetá vs União Barbarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
ATL
0 - 3
GUA
28%
23%
49%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 0
OSV
77%
15%
8%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
SAO
4 - 1
GUA
30%
24%
46%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
RIO
1 - 2
GUA
17%
22%
61%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 0
GUA
60%
21%
19%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 1
GUA
37%
24%
39%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
UNI
4 - 0
AME
47%
25%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
ATL
2 - 3
UNI
57%
22%
22%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
UNI
0 - 0
UNI
27%
23%
50%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
SAO
2 - 1
UNI
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |