Guaratinguetá vs Rio Claro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 3
GUA
23%
24%
53%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
POR
2 - 0
GUA
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 2
CAP
62%
20%
18%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 2
FER
68%
20%
13%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
CAT
0 - 2
GUA
33%
26%
42%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Claro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
4 - 0
GRÊ
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 1
RIO
34%
26%
40%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 1
JUV
62%
22%
17%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
MON
1 - 0
RIO
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
0 - 3
RIO
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -2 |