Guaratinguetá vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
BAH
2 - 1
GUA
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 1
GUA
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 1
IFC
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 1
GUA
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 3
PPE
45%
26%
28%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
PAR
0 - 0
ICA
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
POR
6 - 1
PAR
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
PAR
0 - 2
SPO
29%
27%
44%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 2
PAR
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
PAR
1 - 0
DUQ
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |