Liga do Nordeste Quarter-finals
Guarany de Sobral vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
47.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
CEA
15%
22%
63%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 0
GUA
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
NAU
26%
25%
49%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 0
GUA
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 0
SPO
18%
22%
60%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SAL
1 - 1
SAN
21%
25%
54%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
NAU
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 0
GUA
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
POR
1 - 0
SAN
18%
24%
59%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
4 - 2
CEN
71%
18%
10%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |