Guarany de Sobral vs Ríver analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 3
CEA
17%
23%
61%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
HOR
1 - 1
GUA
53%
24%
24%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 2
ICA
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
FOR
3 - 1
GUA
72%
17%
11%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
CEA
1 - 0
GUA
77%
15%
8%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2014 |
RIV
0 - 0
PIA
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
PIA
2 - 2
RIV
41%
25%
35%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
4DE
0 - 2
RIV
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 2
RIV
43%
26%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 3
RIV
37%
27%
37%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |