Guarany de Sobral vs Horizonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
28.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
CEA
1 - 2
GUA
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
ITA
58%
22%
20%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
QUI
1 - 2
GUA
36%
25%
40%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
FER
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
CRA
0 - 1
GUA
34%
25%
41%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 2
HOR
38%
24%
38%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
HOR
5 - 1
LIM
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 4
HOR
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
QUI
3 - 2
HOR
35%
24%
41%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
HOR
2 - 1
BOV
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |